Signals A signal marks an hour in which one side moved unusually far and the other side did not follow. It describes the past hour; it does not predict the next one.
Samples stored, last 24h —
Move window 60min
Baseline 7days
Minimum baseline 30windows How a signal is measured For each reviewed event, the collector pairs YES odds with the linked perp's price at the same moments. It measures the latest 60-minute change on both sides and compares each with the spread of 60-minute changes over the previous 7 days (at least 30 windows). That gives a z-score per side. If one side moved 2σ or more and the other moved less than 0.5σ in the mapped direction, the hour is flagged.
Odds lead The odds moved sharply; the perp has not moved the way the mapping implies.
Perp lead The perp moved sharply; the odds have not moved the way the mapping implies. Limits: the two contracts settle on different terms, sample timing differs between venues, and a z-score says nothing about cause. A flag is a prompt to read the event rules and the chart, not a trade idea.